COVID-2020

March 2020 COVID crypto crash

Liquidity and liquidation cascades. Not by itself a Bitcoin structural failure.

RESEARCH · SIMULATION · NOT INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE · NOT INVESTABLE · £0 REAL CAPITAL · PAPER

HINDSIGHT BARRIER — No information published after this simulated timestamp may influence this decision.

Occurred (recorded): 12 MAR 2020 02:00 SAST

First public evidence (recorded): 12 MAR 2020 02:00 SAST

Verification: CORROBORATED

Split: VALIDATION

Sharp multi-asset decline including bitcoin.

Healthy-asset stress. Price volatility alone is not evidence of failure.

What was known — evidence timeline

No sourced evidence rows attached.

Sources

2020 stock market crash — Wikipedia · SECONDARY_REPORTING

T-minus (deterministic rules, all four models share the evidence gate)

T	Barrier	State	Action
T-180	14 SEP 2019 02:00 SAST	NOT_ASSESSED	NO_ACTION
T-90	13 DEC 2019 02:00 SAST	NOT_ASSESSED	NO_ACTION
T-30	11 FEB 2020 02:00 SAST	NOT_ASSESSED	NO_ACTION
T-7	05 MAR 2020 02:00 SAST	NOT_ASSESSED	NO_ACTION
T-1	11 MAR 2020 02:00 SAST	NOT_ASSESSED	NO_ACTION
T0	12 MAR 2020 02:00 SAST	NOT_ASSESSED	NO_ACTION

Price-only drawdowns remain NO_ACTION. Structural corroborated events may reach WATCH/ISOLATE. This is not a claim that Duplios operated a live desk at the time.