FTX-2022

FTX / FTT collapse

Venue, affiliated token as reflexive collateral.

RESEARCH · SIMULATION · NOT INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE · NOT INVESTABLE · £0 REAL CAPITAL · PAPER

HINDSIGHT BARRIER — No information published after this simulated timestamp may influence this decision.

Occurred (recorded): 11 NOV 2022 02:00 SAST

First public evidence (recorded): 02 NOV 2022 02:00 SAST

Verification: CORROBORATED

Split: DEVELOPMENT

Exchange failure; FTT collapse; contagion.

Used in rule design. Affiliated-token-as-collateral is a reflexive pattern.

What was known — evidence timeline

Published	Source type	Verification	Summary
02 NOV 2022 02:00 SAST	SECONDARY_REPORTING	CORROBORATED	Balance-sheet reporting on Alameda/FTT preceded the run and bankruptcy.

Sources

Bankruptcy of FTX — Wikipedia · SECONDARY_REPORTING

T-minus (deterministic rules, all four models share the evidence gate)

T	Barrier	Known items	State	Action
T-180	15 MAY 2022 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-90	13 AUG 2022 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-30	12 OCT 2022 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-7	04 NOV 2022 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH
T-1	10 NOV 2022 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH
T0	11 NOV 2022 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH

Price-only drawdowns remain NO_ACTION. Structural corroborated events may reach WATCH/ISOLATE. This is not a claim that Duplios operated a live desk at the time.