MTGOX-2014

Mt. Gox insolvency

Exchange/custody concentration, not BTC network failure.

RESEARCH · SIMULATION · NOT INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE · NOT INVESTABLE · £0 REAL CAPITAL · PAPER

HINDSIGHT BARRIER — No information published after this simulated timestamp may influence this decision.

Occurred (recorded): 24 FEB 2014 02:00 SAST

First public evidence (recorded): 24 FEB 2014 02:00 SAST

Verification: CORROBORATED

Split: DEVELOPMENT

Exchange halt and bankruptcy filing; BTC market disruption.

Used in rule design. Not an independent validation event.

What was known — evidence timeline

Published	Source type	Verification	Summary
24 FEB 2014 02:00 SAST	SECONDARY_REPORTING	CORROBORATED	Mt. Gox filed for bankruptcy after a halt in withdrawals.

Sources

Mt. Gox — Wikipedia · SECONDARY_REPORTING

T-minus (deterministic rules, all four models share the evidence gate)

T	Barrier	Known items	State	Action
T-180	28 AUG 2013 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-90	26 NOV 2013 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-30	25 JAN 2014 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-7	17 FEB 2014 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-1	23 FEB 2014 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T0	24 FEB 2014 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH

Price-only drawdowns remain NO_ACTION. Structural corroborated events may reach WATCH/ISOLATE. This is not a claim that Duplios operated a live desk at the time.