MULTICHAIN-2023

Multichain incident

Bridge / key-person / operational continuity.

RESEARCH · SIMULATION · NOT INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE · NOT INVESTABLE · £0 REAL CAPITAL · PAPER

HINDSIGHT BARRIER — No information published after this simulated timestamp may influence this decision.

Occurred (recorded): 14 JUL 2023 02:00 SAST

First public evidence (recorded): 24 MAY 2023 02:00 SAST

Verification: CORROBORATED

Split: HOLDOUT

Bridge token depegs; CEO disappearance reports.

What was known — evidence timeline

Published	Source type	Verification	Summary
24 MAY 2023 02:00 SAST	SECONDARY_REPORTING	CORROBORATED	Multichain operational disruption and later large outflows were widely reported.

Sources

Multichain — Wikipedia · SECONDARY_REPORTING

T-minus (deterministic rules, all four models share the evidence gate)

T	Barrier	Known items	State	Action
T-180	15 JAN 2023 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-90	15 APR 2023 02:00 SAST	0	INSUFFICIENT_DATA	NO_ACTION
T-30	14 JUN 2023 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH
T-7	07 JUL 2023 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH
T-1	13 JUL 2023 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH
T0	14 JUL 2023 02:00 SAST	1	WATCH	WATCH

Price-only drawdowns remain NO_ACTION. Structural corroborated events may reach WATCH/ISOLATE. This is not a claim that Duplios operated a live desk at the time.